FNUS74 KEPZ 201440
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST CENTER RX...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
840 AM MDT WED APR 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 MDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN MORE OF THE SAME...BREEZY
AFTERNOONS  WITH HUMIDITIES UNDER 15% MAINTAINING A VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER. THE DROUGHT CATEGORY IS EXTREME.WINDS WILL
BE UNDER RED FLAG CRITERION TODAY BUT WILL "APPROACH" CRITICAL
VALUES ON THURSDAY AND MAY ACTUALLY REACH RED FLAG CONDITIONS
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. MIN RH VALUES WILL STAY UNDER 15 PERCENT WITH
THE OVERALL HAINES INDEX STAYING IN THE 4 CATEGORY FOR MOST
AREAS TODAY AND THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WSW 4 TO 9 MPH...BY AFTN WSW 8 TO 13 MPH GUST 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS. EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS. VERY GOOD TO 7PM THEN POOR LATE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH GUST 27 MPH BY AFTN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110420.EASTC.01/EPZ