FNUS75 KGJT 192113
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLE RANCH PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
313 PM MDT TUE APR 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES WESTERN COLORADO. THIS
DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN INCREASED MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
OVER THE BURN SITE DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT NO PRECIPITATION
WILL BE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AROUND 3-5 DEGREES WARMER THAN ON TUESDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH AROUND
                    NOON AND THEN INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110420.COLER.01/GJT