FNUS75 KGJT 192233
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOS PINOS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
433 PM MDT TUE APR 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT THE BURN SITE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FIRST WEAK WAVE WILL APPROACH WESTERN
COLORADO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN PASS OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER MOST
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE BURN SITE. THEN A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON
THURSDAY THEN PASS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AND THE CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY.

I ALSO USED THE NEEDLE CREEK AND HUNTSMAN MESA RAWS SITES FOR THIS
FORECAST.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    EAST 3-5 MPH. AFTER NOON BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND
                    INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS 35-40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH INCREASING TO 38 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110420.LOSPI.01/GJT