FNUS72 KMHX 201122 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMPY POINT...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 722 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT...THEN MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH. VISIBILITY (SM).....10. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............65 51 31 25 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 75 78 79 79 RH..................84 69 64 62 62 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 14 S 15 S 16 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 5 5 VISIBILITY (SM).....10 10 10 10 10 ADI.................25 44 45 58 45 LVORI...............4 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. VISIBILITY (SM).....10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............31 46 56 69 79 83 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 73 70 68 67 65 RH..................67 73 84 84 78 81 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 5 5 VISIBILITY (SM).....10 6 6 6 6 6 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 20 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............82 71 67 62 58 52 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................63 61 65 69 70 70 RH..................78 70 54 42 38 36 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 9 N 12 N 14 N 14 NE 14 NE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 20 25 20 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 2 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...G CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110420.STUMP.01/MHX