FNUS75 KBOU 220600 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MYERS RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1157 PM MDT THU APR 21 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THE NIGHT. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND MAYBE A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS AFTER 3 AM. THE WINDS WILL INREASE AGAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING AFTER 0900. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY WEST OF THE FIRE AREA. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH UNTIL 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 33-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6600-7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1600-2600 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MYERS RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/21-23 71 24 38 59 W 25 1 319 W 28 7789 P 04/22-00 75 27 36 60 W 26 44 3 1 SW53 331 W 28 7805 P 04/22-01 75 27 35 59 W 28 1 441 W 31 12710 P 04/22-02 75 27 34 57 W 28 1 550 W 36 17615 P 04/22-03 48 22 33 56 W 29 45 3 1 SW55 660 W 39 22520 P 04/22-04 48 22 32 60 W 30 1 814 W 43 31236 P 04/22-05 48 22 32 63 W 32 1 968 W 46 39951 P 04/22-06 28 0 33 65 W 35 52 4 1 W58 1121 W 49 48666 F 04/22-07 28 0 34 59 W 35 1 2136 W 49 89420 G 04/22-08 28 0 35 53 W 32 1 3150 W 48 130174 V 04/22-09 7 0 37 44 W 30 45 4 1 W67 4165 W 47 170928 E 04/22-10 7 0 40 37 W 28 1 5212 W 44 189822 E 04/22-11 7 0 42 32 W 25 1 6258 W 39 208715 E 04/22-12 8 0 44 28 W 24 37 3 1 W56 7305 W 36 227609 E 04/22-13 8 0 45 26 W 23 1 7555 W 36 236802 E 04/22-14 8 0 46 24 W 22 1 7804 W 37 245994 E 04/22-15 8 0 47 23 W 22 33 3 1 W68 8054 W 37 255187 E 04/22-16 8 0 47 23 W 22 1 7207 W 38 235547 E 04/22-17 8 0 46 24 W 23 1 6361 W 39 215907 E 04/22-18 38 0 44 27 W 22 33 3 1 W74 5514 W 41 196267 E 04/22-19 38 0 43 29 W 18 1 4711 W 37 157350 E 04/22-20 38 0 40 32 W 14 1 3908 W 33 118433 V 04/22-21 38 0 37 37 W 9 14 3 1 W67 3105 W 30 79516 G 04/22-22 38 0 35 42 SW 7 1 2628 W 22 56924 F 04/22-23 38 0 34 45 S 5 1 2152 W 15 34332 P 04/23-00 56 0 33 48 S 3 3 2 1 W62 1675 W 8 11740 P 04/23-01 56 0 32 51 S 3 1 1859 W 8 13317 P 04/23-02 56 0 31 53 SE 3 1 2043 SW 8 14894 P 04/23-03 56 0 31 55 SE 3 3 2 1 W67 2227 SW 8 16471 P 04/23-04 56 0 30 56 SE 3 1 2366 SW 8 17075 P 04/23-05 56 0 30 57 SE 3 1 2504 SW 8 17679 P 04/23-06 78 0 31 58 SE 3 3 2 1 W63 2643 SW 8 18283 P 04/23-07 78 0 31 59 SE 5 1 2973 SW 8 22211 P 04/23-08 78 0 32 61 SE 5 1 3303 SW 9 26139 P 04/23-09 78 0 34 60 SE 6 6 2 1 W54 3632 SW 9 30067 P 04/23-10 78 0 36 59 SE 6 1 3987 SW 10 37472 P 04/23-11 78 0 38 58 SE 6 1 4342 SW 12 44877 F 04/23-12 78 30 39 58 SE 6 6 2 1 SW45 4696 SW 13 52283 F 04/23-13 78 30 40 58 SE 7 1 4780 SW 14 56712 F 04/23-14 78 30 40 59 SE 7 1 4864 SW 15 61142 G 04/23-15 78 30 41 60 SE 8 8 2 1 W52 4948 SW 15 65572 G 04/23-16 78 30 41 61 SE 9 1 4696 SW 17 70988 G 04/23-17 78 30 41 63 SE 9 1 4443 SW 20 76404 G 04/23-18 80 40 40 66 S 9 9 3 1 W58 4190 SW 23 81820 G 04/23-19 80 40 39 69 S 8 1 3602 SW 18 62631 G 04/23-20 80 40 38 74 S 6 1 3013 SW 15 43442 F 04/23-21 80 40 36 79 S 5 5 3 1 W53 2424 SW 12 24253 P 04/23-22 80 40 35 83 S 5 1 2310 S 13 26081 P 04/23-23 80 40 34 85 S 5 1 2196 S 15 27909 P 04/24-00 80 40 34 86 S 5 5 2 1 SW59 2082 S 16 29738 P 04/24-01 80 40 33 85 S 5 1 1894 S 15 24575 P 04/24-02 80 40 33 84 E 5 1 1707 SW 13 19413 P 04/24-03 80 40 32 82 NE 5 5 3 1 SW55 1520 SW 10 14250 P 04/24-04 80 40 32 80 NE 5 1 1464 SW 10 12999 P 04/24-05 80 40 32 77 N 3 1 1408 SW 9 11748 P 04/24-06 80 40 32 76 N 3 3 3 1 W45 1352 W 9 10497 P 04/24-07 80 40 33 75 NE 3 1 1527 SW 10 13804 P 04/24-08 80 40 36 66 SE 3 1 1702 SW 12 17111 P 04/24-09 80 40 40 59 S 3 3 3 1 SW40 1878 SW 13 20418 P 04/24-10 80 40 43 53 S 5 1 3399 SW 16 55979 F 04/24-11 80 40 46 49 S 6 1 4921 SW 20 91540 G 04/24-12 80 40 48 46 S 7 7 3 1 SW35 6443 SW 23 127100 V 04/24-13 80 40 50 44 S 7 1 7368 W 23 144092 V 04/24-14 80 40 51 43 W 7 1 8292 W 22 161083 E 04/24-15 80 40 52 43 W 6 6 3 1 SW24 9217 W 22 178074 E 04/24-16 80 40 52 43 NW 6 1 8747 W 20 152939 E 04/24-17 80 40 51 45 N 5 1 8276 W 17 127804 V 04/24-18 82 40 49 49 N 5 5 3 1 SW33 7806 W 15 102669 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...OEM REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110421.MYERS.02/BOU