FNUS73 KDVN 211311
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH SHOP...UPPER MISS REFUGE- SAVANNA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
811 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
OVER ILLINOIS AND INDIANA MOVES EAST.  LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  LIGHT RAIN WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............42     47     50     52     52
RH..............66     57     51     48     49
EYE LEVEL WIND..080/6  110/8  120/12 120/14 120/13
EYE LEVEL GUST..       10     15     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...FERRY
REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL ENGELKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110421.SOUTH.01/DVN