FNUS74 KEPZ 211441
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST CENTER RX...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
841 AM MDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR STRENGTHENING 20 FOOT WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE...MAINLY IN MID-DAY
AND IN THE AFTERNOON...AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES TRACKS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS STARTING TODAY.  GIVEN
THE STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON...AND EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE BURN SITE...THIS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY...WHICH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY...DECREASING TO
                    3 TO 6 MPH WITH LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING
                    AFTER 9 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110421.EASTC.01/EPZ