FNUS74 KEPZ 211809
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ESCONDIDO...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1209 PM MDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1135 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR STRENGTHENING 20 FOOT WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE...MAINLY FROM NOW
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES TRACKS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS STARTING TODAY.  THESE WILL
CARRY INCREASING WINDS ALOFT OVER THE REGION...WHICH WILL MIX DOWN
TO THE SURFACE UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. GIVEN THE STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED
EACH AFTERNOON...AND EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE BURN SITE...THIS
WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS AS EARLY AS FRIDAY...WHICH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 17 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY...DECREASING
                    AND BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    15 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110421.ESCON.01/EPZ