FNUS74 KEPZ 211601
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR YELLOW...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1001 AM MDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0925 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR STRENGTHENING 20 FOOT WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE...MAINLY IN MID-DAY
AND IN THE AFTERNOON...AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES TRACKS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS STARTING TODAY.  GIVEN
THE STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON...AND EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE BURN SITE...THIS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY...WHICH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY...BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE AFTER 9 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110421.YELLO.01/EPZ