FNUS71 KLWX 211143 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR CALEDON STATE PARK...VA DCR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 743 AM EDT THU APR 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC TODAY. 10-HR FUEL MOISTURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 7-8 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA. WINDS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS MARYLAND...SHOULD SUSTAIN AT NEAR 20 MPH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. IN ADDITION...DOWNSLOPING FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BOTTOMING OUT AT NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT OVER THE REGION TOMORROW. WITH RAIN MOVING IN TOMORROW... NO RISK OF WEATHER SUPPORTIVE OF THE SPREAD OF FIRES. THIS FRONT WILL STALL AND REMAIN SITUATED ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400-6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%)......... 56 28 20 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............ 62 64 65 64 RH.............. 39 37 35 38 20 FT WIND...... NW 9 NW 7 NW 8 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 20 15 15 15 CWR............. 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)......... 18 17 26 38 46 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............ 62 57 52 49 47 45 RH.............. 41 49 56 61 63 68 20 FT WIND...... N 6 N 5 N 4 N 4 NE 4 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 10 10 10 10 5 CWR............. 0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)......... 84 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE.... NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............ 44 44 49 52 54 54 RH.............. 73 79 68 63 61 64 20 FT WIND...... NE 5 E 9 E 6 E 7 E 9 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 15 20 CWR............. 0 20 20 80 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...KONARIK REQUESTED BY...ERIK MOLLEEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110421.CALED.01/LWX