FNUS74 KMAF 220043
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK HOUSE FIRE...SOUTHERN AREA IMT BLUE TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
743 PM CDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1719 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

...HIGH HAINES INDEX THROUGH FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST OF THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NOT EXPECTED TO RETURN TO
THE BURN AREA TONIGHT...SO RH RECOVERY SHOULD ONLY BE FAIR.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS
THE RIDGES. ANOTHER DRY AND WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH
MINIMUM RH/S ONCE AGAIN DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
RIDGES ON FRIDAY AS DRY...WEST WINDS INCREASE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........32-45 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (214500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (100 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           0
TEMP............86           62           55
RH..............7            20           18
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..18           8            12
20 FT WIND GUST.25           10           15
MIX HGT (FT)....13000        BLW100       BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..16           5            6
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....6            6            6

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (209200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............49           71           81
RH..............46           16           10
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10           20           23
20 FT WIND GUST.             30           35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       3000         8500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..7            15           19
VENT CAT........POOR         FAIR         EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....6            5            5

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAMLET SITL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110421.ROCKH.02/MAF