FNUS71 KALY 221004
FWSALY

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR MOHONK PRESERVE RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
604 AM EDT FRI APR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EASTWARD OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY. A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES INTO
WESTERN QUEBEC...DRAGGING A WARM FRONT THEN A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
ANOTHER WETTING RAINFALL TO THE AREA. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 25 TO
35 PERCENT...THEN INCREASE TO BETWEEN 75 AND 90 PERCENT TONIGHT. RH
VALUES WILL ONLY DROP TO AROUND 60 TO 70 PERCENT ON SATURDAY WITH
CLOUDS AND RAINFALL.

WINDS TODAY WILL INITIALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING THEN
BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT...AND REMAIN SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SNYDER
REQUESTED BY...GABRIEL CHAPIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110422.MOHON.01/ALY