FNUS75 KGJT 211434
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOE CANYON...USFS SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
834 AM MDT THU APR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
FOR FRIDAY...COOLER AND LESS WINDY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL HAVE PASSED OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ON FRIDAY WILL SWITCH TO SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY AS
THE NEXT DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. MOISTURE CARRIED BY THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...RESULTING IN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL EACH DAY.

.FRIDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-10...INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN
                    THE EARLY MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...IMPROVING TO GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MCDERMID
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110422.DOECA.01/GJT