FNUS74 KMAF 232104
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK HOUSE FIRE...SOUTHERN AREA IMT BLUE TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
404 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1418 MDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM CDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN SUSTAINED BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH...
WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
SHOULD DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH
EARLY THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR WESTERLY WINDS TO PICK UP TO 20 TO 25
MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RH
VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR.
THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED WESTERLY WINDS AND CONTINUED VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BRING RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BURN SITE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........38 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH
                    THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON (209000 KNOT-FT)...
                    BECOMING POOR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH
                    INVERSION.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%).... 0      0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............80     79     70     66     64     58     55
RH..............7      10     13     15     17     24     31
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..17     15     12     11     11     10     10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....11000  11000  500    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      SW     W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..19     19     5      9      9      9
VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON
                    (322000 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0
TEMP............52     58
RH..............37     30
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..13     15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..10     10
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....5      5

$$

FORECASTER...LINDSEY
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAMLET SITL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110423.ROCKH.03/MAF