FNAK79 PAFG 241423
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLS RANGE RX...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
623 AM AKDT SUN APR 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE CHINOOK FLOW THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR STRONG WIND THE
LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS NOW WEAKENED. A MUCH LIGHTER WIND REGIME
IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS LIGHTER WIND REGIME
WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND THEN REBUILD ACROSS THE AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. BETTER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED AT NIGHT NOW THAT THE CHINOOK FLOW HAS
WEAKENED.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH. A FEW GUSTS OF
                    10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    BY NOON. THERE WILL LIKELY BE MULTIPLE WEAK
                    INVERSIONS BELOW 2000 FT AGL EARLY THIS MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 5 MPH BY 2200.
                    A FEW GUSTS TO 12 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 800-1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110424.WILLS.01/AFG