FNUS73 KAPX 241554 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 24...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1154 AM EDT SUN APR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN PARTLY SUNNY SKIES...NO PRECIPITATION... AND LIGHT WINDS. LAKE BREEZES WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THEN STEADILY PUSH INLAND...RESULTING IN WEST BREEZES GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 55 AND 60...WITH THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 35 PERCENT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...AND CONTINUING BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900-5900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300). TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........53 53 TEMP............58 58 RH..............37 37 20 FT WIND DIR..W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 SMOKE DISP......200 300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR (0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........53 53 55 55 55 55 55 55 63 63 63 63 TEMP............56 54 52 49 46 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 RH..............40 42 49 57 69 80 86 90 91 93 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NE E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......200 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN... MAINLY LATE IN THE DAY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT (700). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 76 76 76 81 81 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............38 42 48 55 61 62 RH..............96 92 61 46 44 44 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 3 E 5 E 6 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 0 200 500 700 600 $$ FORECASTER...BRUCE SMITH REQUESTED BY...BARRON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110424.COMP2.01/APX