FNUS73 KAPX 241324 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR ZISSLER RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 924 AM EDT SUN APR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DIRECTLY OVERHEAD TODAY...AND THIS WILL RESULT IN PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON...AS LAKE BREEZES DEVELOP OFF LAKE HURON. PEAK WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH 10 TO 12 MPH. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE LATER IN THE DAY MONDAY...WITH MORE SUBSTANTIAL RAIN EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG BEFORE 10 AM. TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX AFTERNOON TEMPERATURE 56. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER NOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6500-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX AFTERNOON...FAIR (200). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........40 45 50 50 50 50 TEMP............49 52 54 55 56 56 RH..............47 43 41 38 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..W SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 100 200 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 50 48 48 48 48 48 48 58 58 58 58 TEMP............54 51 48 45 42 39 38 38 38 36 35 34 RH..............41 47 55 61 68 75 79 82 84 86 86 86 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......300 300 300 200 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN...MAINLY LATE. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(400). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 78 78 78 82 82 WEATHER COV.....NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............35 39 46 51 54 56 RH..............88 83 59 47 45 40 20 FT WIND......SE 1 E 2 E 5 E 6 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 5 SMOKE DISP......0 0 100 300 400 400 $$ FORECASTER...BRUCE SMITH REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110424.ZISSL.01/APX