FNUS73 KAPX 251542
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOARDMAN RIVER...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1142 AM EDT MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST
TODAY...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST AND DOMINATED BY SOME
UPSLOPE FLOW FROM ANY TERRAIN FEATURES NEARBY. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE
TODAY...BUT THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD DROP TO 30 TO 35
PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON IF THE CIRRUS THINS ENOUGH AND THE
TEMPERATURE WARMS INTO THE MIDDLE 60S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT (700).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69  73  73  73  73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............57  58  61  61  60
RH..............47  45  39  38  39
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.8   8   9   10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......700 700 700 600 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........73     84     84     84     100    100
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............59     56     50     47     46     45
RH..............40     45     58     65     65     70
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 5    E 4    E 3    E 5    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4      5      4
SMOKE DISP......600    600    100    0      0      100

$$
FORECASTER...NICK SCHWARTZ
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110425.BOARD.01/APX