FNUS73 KAPX 251916
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN TIMBERS...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
316 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1530 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CLOSE
TO THE MAXIMUM FOR THE DAY AT IGNITION TIME. THE MINIMUM RH SHOULD
BE CLOSE AS WELL. AFTER THAT THE CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AS
RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED AFTER 500 AM.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500).

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........61  73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  62
RH..............44  44
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3
SMOKE DISP......500 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........73  73  69  69  69  74  74  74  84  84  84  94
WEATHER COV.....                                            CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                                            RN
TEMP............58  55  52  49  47  46  46  46  46  44  42  41
RH..............49  55  61  68  74  76  73  73  73  79  86  89
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SMOKE DISP......500 500 400 200 100 0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110425.GREEN.01/APX