FNUS73 KMPX 251143
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REDHEAD WPA...FWS - MINNESOTA VALLEY NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
643 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CALM WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM THE
EAST SOUTHEAST AND THEN NEAR DUE EAST BY IGNITION TIME. THESE WILL
REMAIN FROM THE EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE SPEEDS WILL
REACH UP TO 10 TO 15 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE RAPIDLY THIS
MORNING...WITH HUMIDITY DROPPING TO AROUND 45 PERCENT BY IGNITION
TIME. RAIN WILL MOVE TO OVER THE BURN SITE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
PERSIST MOST OF TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...GRADUALLY
                    INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH. DIRECTION MAY BE
                    FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-38000) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (62100-88000) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............48  52  55  58  60  61  62  62  61
RH..............56  48  45  40  37  36  35  35  37
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56100-83600) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO FAIR (3300-29000) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (6300-70000) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64100-77100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 25 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 39
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...JAMI MARKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110425.REDHE.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY