FNUS75 KTWC 251531
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR...AZ-ASF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
830 AM MST MON APR 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 805 MST ON APRIL 25. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...LOCALIZED RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING ACROSS THE FIRE AREA
WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA BEING MET.
HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD AND LONG DURATION RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT
EXPECTED.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FIRE AREA TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF A LOWERING OF HUMIDITIES
AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG
CRITERIA. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A RED
FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY.

A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK WITH DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS WITH POOR NIGHTTIME
RECOVERY.

.TODAY...LOCALIZED RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 TO 68 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 TO 19 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...LOCALIZED RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE AREA THIS EVENING.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34 TO 39 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 TO 57 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING DECREASING TO 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 67 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 13 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HEDGEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110425.BEAR_.01/TWC