FNUS73 KDDC 261034 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR FOLS...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 534 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 CDT ON APRIL 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT IGNITION TIME...THE WINDS OVER THE SPOT FORECAST AREA WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF NOT CALM AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE COOL...ONLY RISING INTO THE UPPER 50S BY IGNITION TIME RESULTING IN A RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT GENERALLY 6 TO 9 MPH IN SPEED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........69 79 88 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 61 62 RH..............60 52 50 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 7 E 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4 SE 6 E 7 WIND GUST.. 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. CWR.................80 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........96 97 99 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 53 49 47 45 43 RH..............58 72 83 90 93 93 20 FT WIND......NE 9 N 9 NW 9 NW 10 N 12 N 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 7 N 7 NW 7 NW 8 N 10 N 11 WIND GUST..10 10 10 15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-10000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 24 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 70 63 58 49 37 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 47 53 57 60 61 RH..............89 71 57 46 42 39 20 FT WIND......N 17 N 21 N 23 N 23 NW 22 NW 18 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 14 N 17 N 18 N 18 NW 18 NW 14 WIND GUST..25 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...UMSCHEID REQUESTED BY...DAVID MCCAULEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110426.FOLS_.01/DDC