FNAK71 PAFC 281438
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAZELKA 3...AFS/BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
638 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2117 AKDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONT OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL STALL AS IT MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN GULF TODAY AND TONIGHT. SKIES WILL BECOME CLOUDY BY LATER TODAY...BUT
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SOUTH AND WEST OF THE ANCHORAGE AREA.
AS THE FRONT APPROACHES A SURFACE RIDGE OUT AHEAD OF IT WILL STRENGTHEN ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST AND INTO ANCHORAGE...ESPECIALLY AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE
DAY FRIDAY. WINDS TODAY WILL PRIMARILY CONSIST OF AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE
WHILE THE RIDGE WILL PRODUCE STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WIND 0 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FEET THIS MORNING RISING TO 6500 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE 5 MPH THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WIND 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    EAST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FEET IN THE EVENING FALLING TO 2000 FEET BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WIND 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FEET IN THE MORNING RISING TO 4500 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAINES
REQUESTED BY...BOB SCHOBER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110427.GRAZE.02/AER