FNUS74 KMAF 272236 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK HOUSE FIRE...SOUTHERN AREA IMT BLUE TEAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 536 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1615 MDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE LOWER 40S TONIGHT...BUT DRY AIR OVER THE REGION WILL ONLY ALLOW FOR RECOVERY AROUND 20 PERCENT. MINIMUM RH'S THURSDAY WILL DROP TO AROUND 5 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 80S. LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER 10 MPH FORM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH THURSDAY NIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES UP A LITTLE WHICH WILL RESULT IN POOR RECOVERY AGAIN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE BURN AREA LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH. SINCE RH'S WILL DROP TO AROUND 5 PERCENT...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT LATE FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........19 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH THIS EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (108000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............76 66 57 51 47 45 RH..............5 8 10 13 15 17 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 5 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6000 6000 BLW100 500 500 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..W W W S S W TRANS WIND SPD..18 18 5 3 3 2 VENT CAT........VYGOOD VYGOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........6 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (124200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............44 54 68 74 81 84 RH..............19 13 9 7 6 6 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW N NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 6 7 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 13 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 4000 2900 2900 7200 TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W TRANS WIND SPD..4 4 9 11 11 13 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD VYGOOD HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...LYSTER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAMLET SITL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110427.ROCKH.03/MAF