FNUS75 KMSO 271416
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SECOND CREEK HFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
816 AM MDT WED APR 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 MDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE PRESENT NEAR
THE BURN DURING TODAY. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP DURING
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE BURN.
ANOTHER MOIST PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL INCREASING
SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW AND
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...BOB DERLETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110427.SECON.01/MSO