FNAK71 PAFC 291447
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAZELKA 3...AFS/BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
647 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1932 AKDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE ARE A FEW SPRINKLES IN THE AREA THIS MORNING
ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A RIDGE
WILL STRENGTHEN ALONG THE NORTH THE GULF COAST TODAY AND KEEP THE
FRONT FROM GETTING ANY CLOSER. AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY THROUGH GAPS IN THE CHUGACH.
THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SPRINKLES THIS MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 5 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FEET THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 4000 FEET IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FEET IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FEET AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 MPH DIMINISHING TO EAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    MORE NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FEET IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8000 FEET IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAINES
REQUESTED BY...BOB SCHOBER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110428.GRAZE.01/AER