FNUS73 KDDC 281007 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR PARK SMITH MEADOW...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 507 AM CDT THU APR 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL DIG INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES TODAY AND WILL INTENSIFY FRIDAY. A DRYLINE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TO NEAR DODGE CITY BY LATE FRIDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE WEST OF THE DRYLINE FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AND OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT. VERY WARM AIR IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500-11300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 53 58 62 66 69 71 73 73 72 RH..............65 53 42 34 29 25 23 22 23 25 20 FT WIND DIR.. W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..14 16 17 18 18 18 17 16 14 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 20 15 EYE LVL WND DIR. W W W W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.11 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 11 10 EYE LVL WND GST.20 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........7 9 13 15 19 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 60 55 52 50 47 RH..............27 33 37 44 50 57 20 FT WIND......W 9 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 10 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 8 S 10 WIND GUST..10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 33 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 38 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........28 26 22 19 20 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 55 67 75 81 82 RH..............63 48 37 32 27 26 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 23 S 29 S 31 S 33 S 31 20 FT WIND GUST.20 30 40 40 45 40 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 11 S 18 S 23 S 25 S 26 S 25 WIND GUST..20 30 40 40 45 40 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...RUTHI/GERARD REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110428.PARKS.01/DDC