FNUS74 KMAF 281132 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK HOUSE FIRE...SOUTHERN AREA IMT BLUE TEAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 632 AM CDT THU APR 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0513 MDT ON APRIL 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A LIGHT GENERAL WIND PATTERN SHOULD CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORING TOPOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES TODAY WITH DOWNSLOPING WINDS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...BECOMING UPSLOPING LATE MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS THE RIDGELINE HEATS UP. A VERY WEAK FRONT MAY ALSO HELP THE EASTERLY COMPONENT TODAY. TONIGHT THE WINDS SHOULD BECOME DOWNSLOPING ONCE AGAIN BUT MAY BE STRONGER AS THE OVERALL WIND FLOW BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST. FRIDAY WILL BE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY AS THE WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE THUS THE RED FLAG WARNING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SATURDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS SOME RELIEF WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........6 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45400 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............44 55 69 75 80 83 RH..............19 13 8 7 6 6 20 FT WIND DIR..W W E SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 3 2 2 3 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 2500 6000 6000 8000 TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW W W W SW TRANS WIND SPD..4 4 2 5 5 6 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........33 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............82 73 66 60 56 55 RH..............7 10 13 16 22 28 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 5000 500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE SW SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 7 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........5 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (360000 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............54 63 75 80 85 88 RH..............33 21 12 8 6 5 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 15 19 24 25 25 20 FT WIND GUST. 25 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 3000 10500 10500 15000 TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W TRANS WIND SPD..9 9 23 22 22 24 VENT CAT........POOR POOR GOOD EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...HENNIG REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAMLET SITL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110428.ROCKH.01/MAF