FNUS75 KPUB 291120
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...EL PASO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
520 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG JET STREAM WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND HIGH WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITIES.  WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE.  NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

OVERNIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  THE WINDS
TONIGHT WILL DECREASE AFTER THE EVENING HOURS AND WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN WESTERLY.  AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL HOLD OFF MOVING INTO THE BURN SITE UNTIL
MID MORNING...ALTHOUGH THIS IS DIFFICULT TO TIME.  TEMPS ON SATURDAY
WILL BE MUCH COLDER AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER.  THERE COULD BE A
FEW SHOWERS IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING TO
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IF SHOWERS OCCUR...NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(33 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 60 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 48 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 18-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 39
                    MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 40 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN AROUND 13
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(69 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHERLY 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHEAST AROUND 10
                    MPH UNTIL AROUND 1100 THEN EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...VIRPI MATTSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110428.SANDG.05/PUB