FNUS74 KEPZ 300117
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ABRAMS...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
717 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1855 MDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE DIGGING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS IN THE BREEZY TO WINDY CATEGORY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A
DECREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH FOR SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO
BE GRADUALLY COOLING DOWN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN LIKELY NOT GETTING OUT OF THE
70S BY SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY ONLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S BY MONDAY WITH
A WIND SHIFT TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 54-58 LOWEST.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PCT HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 14-19 PERCENT LOWER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST AND
                    DECREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 KNOTS.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 82-86 LOWER ELEVATIONS.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15 PCT HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 5-10 PCT LOWER.
WIND (20 FT)........MORNING - WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH
                    1300 - WEST-SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    1500 - WEST-SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    1700 - WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    1900 - WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110429.ABRAM.01/EPZ