FNUS75 KGJT 290348
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OHIO CITY   PITKIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
948 PM MDT THU APR 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL FORM BY LATE MORNING AS THE INVERSION BREAKS...THEN
STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST COLORADO. STRONG
MIXING IN THE AFTERNOON WILL ALSO BRING DOWN A FEW WIND GUSTS APPROACHING
35 MPH. AT THE MOMENT THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE NEAR THE PROPOSED BURN SITE
LOOKS TO BE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING PERIOD...WITH WINDS TURNING
MORE WESTERLY. SOME STRONGER WIND GUSTS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OF
THE FRONT. SMOKE DISPERSAL LOOKS TO BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT THE NEXT
FEW AFTERNOONS AND REMAIN SOMEWHAT HIGHER OVERNIGHT WITH MIXING BEHIND
THE FRONT KEEPING WINDS UP.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN MORNING WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
                    THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 48-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5-15 MPH BY NOON...TURNING
                    TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING
                    TO 46 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT THROUGH SUNSET...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD.

.SATURDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MIFMU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110429.OHIOC.01/GJT