FNUS73 KICT 291815 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND HILLS STATE PARK...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 115 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1253 CDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... STRONG GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PRESIDE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AT SPEEDS AROUND 30 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE BIGGEST THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TODAY AND AROUND 30 FOR SATURDAY. THERE IS A BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THAT WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. CURRENT TIMING FOR THE FRONT IS JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN WINDS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THEN TO THE NORTHWEST BY SUNRISE. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE ABOUT 25 MPH IN THE MORNING GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON TO 15 MPH. CLOUD COVER WILL BE MINIMAL TODAY AND INCREASE OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXTREMELY MINIMAL. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 26 TO 31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 46 TO 55 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........17 17 18 19 20 21 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............75 77 79 80 80 80 79 RH..............33 29 26 25 26 27 30 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..24 24 25 25 24 23 21 20 FT WIND GUST.50 50 50 50 50 45 45 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.7 3.9 2.1 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..48 51 53 54 55 55 55 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 45 TO 54 MPH DECREASING TO 38 TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING EAST 5 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........21 27 34 40 44 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 67 61 58 53 51 RH..............30 46 59 71 82 86 20 FT WIND......S 18 S 14 S 13 S 13 SE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.40 30 30 30 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 500 MIXNG WIND......S 54 S 45 S 40 S 38 SE 13 E 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 31 TO 38 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........53 45 37 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 58 64 67 RH..............83 53 37 30 20 FT WIND......NW 13G30 N 15G35 N 13G30 N 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 3400 5200 6300 MIXNG WIND......NW 35 N 35 N 24 NW 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 6 $$ FORECASTER...KLEINSASSER REQUESTED BY...RODNEY REDDINGER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110429.SANDH.01/ICT