FNUS72 KMFL 291057 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR SLOPE FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 657 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SPOT FORECAST FOR SLOPE FIRE...FL. D.O.F. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 656 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BY 9 AM, THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY MIDDAY. CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHING ALONG THE GULF COAST AND OFFSHORE THIS MORNING, BUT EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE MIDDAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON TIME FRAME. MOST STORMS WILL BE INLAND FROM THE COAST, POTENTIALLY AFFECTING THE WILDFIRE AFTER 1 PM THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST. DISPERSION VALUES WILL REMAIN POOR TO FAIR TODAY DUE TO INCREASING CLOUDS AND LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS. POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION TONIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AREA TONIGHT, WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASING ON SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE TO GOOD TO VERY GOOD ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........20 23 37 50 60 60 WEATHER COV.....AREAS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 84 89 92 91 88 RH..............93 63 54 48 48 53 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 NW 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 4500 4500 4500 4500 MIXNG WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 W 9 W 9 NW 7 DISPERSION IDX..16 16 37 36 36 27 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4. LVORI...............6. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....42 INCREASING TO 56 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. $$ FORECASTER...MOLLEDA REQUESTED BY...LUCHS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE $$ REQUESTED BY...LUCHS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE