FNAK79 PAFG 301446
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARVIS CREEK MAA...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
646 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK THERMAL LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH OF THE FIRE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND WEAKEN TONIGHT. A WEAK GULF OF ALASKA
WEATHER FRONT IS MOVING OVER THE FIRE TODAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL EXPAND OVER THE FIRE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE CLOUD COVER...LIGHT WINDS...AND
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-40 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING.
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH BEFORE 10 AM. SOUTH WINDS
7 TO 11 MPH AFTER 10 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-7300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4700-5200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER NOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...M  ROBINETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110430.JARVI.01/AFG