FNUS73 KAPX 301241 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 394...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 841 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...MAIN CONCERN TODAY IS INCREASING WIND GUSTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN UP DURING THE DAY TODAY...WITH RAIN MOVING IN DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS MORNING...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 MPH EXPECTED BY MIDDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG INTO THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 30 TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........61 61 78 78 78 81 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 63 65 65 65 65 RH..............36 34 31 33 33 34 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 28 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......700 700 700 800 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH DIMINISHING TO 9 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 30 TO 36 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 21 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........81 81 94 94 94 94 94 94 70 70 70 70 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............63 61 61 58 55 53 52 51 50 49 49 48 RH..............36 41 41 47 55 64 69 74 80 86 86 89 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 11 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......800 700 600 600 500 400 400 400 400 400 300 200 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110430.COMP3.01/APX