FNUS73 KAPX 301321 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE RIVER RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 921 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM FOR TODAY... INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS 24 TO 28 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HERE SHOULD BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THEY WILL BE FARTHER INLAND DUE TO FLOW OFF LAKE HURON. EXPECT CLOUDS TO THICKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON... BUT ANY RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION... CONTINUING 13 TO 17 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2800-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........42 54 54 54 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 56 56 55 55 RH..............40 40 40 41 41 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 15 16 16 20 FT WIND GUST.24 25 25 26 26 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......700 700 800 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH THIS EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........62 62 95 95 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TEMP............55 57 58 56 53 51 50 49 48 48 48 47 RH..............41 40 40 42 44 52 56 61 65 71 74 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 SMOKE DISP......700 500 400 300 200 200 100 100 200 200 200 200 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1900). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 77 77 77 45 45 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 49 55 59 61 61 RH..............83 80 61 51 42 41 20 FT WIND......SE 12 S 10 S 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 4 5 SMOKE DISP......200 200 200 700 1800 1900 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110430.PINER.01/APX