FNUS73 KAPX 301325 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMERS RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 925 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0905 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM FOR TODAY... INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS 24 TO 28 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HERE SHOULD BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THEY WILL BE FARTHER INLAND DUE TO FLOW OFF LAKE HURON. EXPECT CLOUDS TO THICKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON... BUT ANY RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH BY MIDDAY OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900). TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........21 21 46 46 46 57 57 57 65 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 49 53 56 57 57 58 58 58 RH..............65 52 44 38 35 34 33 34 34 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 6 10 12 14 15 15 15 16 20 FT WIND GUST.5 15 20 22 25 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......200 400 700 800 800 800 900 900 900 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........65 65 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 58 58 56 53 51 50 49 48 47 47 46 RH..............35 36 36 38 43 48 52 58 63 68 74 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......800 600 500 400 300 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1800). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 72 72 72 43 43 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 48 54 58 60 60 RH..............83 83 64 51 42 41 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 11 S 8 SW 9 SW 12 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 25 25 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 4 5 SMOKE DISP......200 200 200 700 1700 1700 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110430.SUMME.02/APX