FNUS73 KGRR 301158
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MCCARTHY RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
758 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER DRY DAY IS EXPECTED BEFORE SOME LIGHT RAIN
MOVES IN TONIGHT. MIN RH VALUES MAY TAP THE UPPER 20S ACROSS
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
DEVELOP TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW 70 ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 21 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 21
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 32
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-3100
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 800-1000
                    (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........59     67     75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     67     65
RH..............26     25     29
20 FT WIND......SE 17  SE 17  SE 17
20 FT GUST......30     35     35
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 30 TO 36 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    100-200 (POOR TO FAIR) TOWARD DAYBREAK.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 24 TO
                    32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1200-1400
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110430.MCCAR.01/GRR