FNUS76 KLOX 300052
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARRIZO PILE BURN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
552 PM PDT FRI APR 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE GREAT BASIN SATURDAY RESULTING IN GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS
FOR THE USUAL WIND PRONE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AREAS. THESE
DOWN-SLOPING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME WARMING AND DRYING ACROSS THE
CARIZZO PLAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND LIKELY INTO NEXT WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE FORECAST AREA. STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

.SATURDAY...(IGNITION TIME 0900)

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........49-52.
HUMIDITY............35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
                    MPH AFTER 1900 HOURS.
 RIDGETOP...........6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING WILL THEN DIMINISH TO 4 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGETOP............NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH IN THE EVENING...DIMINISHING
                    TO 4 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING...LOWERING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE WATKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110430.CARRI.01/LOX