FNUS74 KLZK 302158 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR FLOOD CLEAN UP OPS...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 458 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1631 CDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND THEN STALL OVER THE REGION. STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH AND RIDE ALONG THE FRONT...BRINGING MANY ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS WILL AVERAGE TWO TO FIVE INCHES...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS WILL FALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY. ALSO...RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN DUE TO THE HIGH AMOUNTS OF RUNOFF THAT WILL CAUSE THE RIVERS TO RISE AGAIN...OR AT LEAST SLOW THE FALL THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 64 63 62 60 59 57 55 54 53 52 51 RH..............84 84 85 87 90 93 96 100 98 97 96 98 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW W W NW NW N N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.5 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............51 51 52 54 56 57 58 59 60 60 61 60 RH..............95 92 83 75 68 63 58 54 54 54 54 56 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 90 90 90 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...JEFF WEST TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110430.FLOOD.01/LZK