FNUS75 KPUB 301156
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
556 AM MDT SAT APR 30 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM
MDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

IT LOOKS AS THOUGH SNOW WILL START AT THE BURN SITE SOMETIME BETWEEN
6 AND 8 PM THIS EVENING AND WILL THEN CONTINUE TO FALL INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.  IF FORECAST MODELS ARE CORRECT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.  QPF AMOUNTS ARE VERY DIFFICULT TO
FORECAST...BUT MAYBE A 0.50.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21F.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34F.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110430.SANDG.01/PUB