FNUS73 KAPX 012200 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOVELLS FIRE...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 600 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1755 EDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE WEST LATE TONIGHT...AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT DEPARTS NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND MOVES INTO ONTARIO...WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS FORECAST FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT...MAY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM HOUGHTON LAKE TO ALPENA LATE TONIGHT. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND TEMPERATURE READINGS REMAINING OUTSIDE OF THEIR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........61 AT REQUEST...MIN 36. RH..................28 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1900) AT REQUEST. MIN...POOR (100). MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 3200-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE NIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........9 12 14 14 14 19 19 19 57 57 57 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 58 54 50 46 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 RH..............28 30 35 41 47 53 55 57 59 62 64 67 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 14 11 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 30 25 20 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 SMOKE DISP......1900160014001100900 700 700 800 700 500 200 100 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1400). MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 28 28 28 44 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 39 43 47 49 51 RH..............67 62 55 45 40 39 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 8 W 9 W 9 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......200 600 1100 1400 1300 1200 $$ FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110501.LOVEL.01/APX