FNUS73 KGRR 011341
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MCCARTHY RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
941 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES RISING THROUGH THE MID TO UPPER 50S LATE THIS MORNING
AND INTO THE LOWER 60S EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR RAIN
SHOWERS HAS ENDED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 29 TO
                    33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900-5400
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 800-1200
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    1500-1800 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT) IN THE
                    EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........35     36     38     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     62     59     57
RH..............31     28     39     42
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 16  SW 16  SW 13
20 FT GUST......30     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1100 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 900
                    (EXCELLENT) LATE IN THE DAY.

$$
FORECASTER...LAURENS
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110501.MCCAR.01/GRR