FNUS72 KJAX 011624
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONNER 13...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1224 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1214 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE AREA TODAY AND MONDAY HELPING TO MOISTEN THE BOUNDARY LAYER
OVER THE REGION. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DECREASE
TO CRITICALLY LEVELS AND A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT. EAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10-14 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH. STRATO CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL APPROACH
FROM THE EAST MID-AFTERNOON.

ON MONDAY...MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO CRITERIA LEVELS BUT DURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SHORT. SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN
15 MPH THOUGH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED.

INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HEIGHTEN THE CHANCE FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS WITH VISIBILITIES LOCALLY
BELOW 1 MILE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........ESE 10 TO 14 MPH.
                    GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....71.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     87     87
RH..............47     37     38
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 10   E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2900   4800   4800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 16   E 17   E 20
LAL.............1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     12     12     12     9      9
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............84     77     72     69     67     65
RH..............41     54     68     77     83     89
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 10   E 8    E 5    E 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   2200   2200   1200   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 20   E 18   E 18   E 12   E 6    E 6

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110501.CONNE.01/JAX