FNUS71 KLWX 010947
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARMAN GAP RX...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
547 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY EARLY MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
STALL ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE FRONT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE FRONT FINALLY MOVING OFFSHORE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DURING THIS PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........79     81     85     85
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............57     61     64     65
RH..............64     60     56     58
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
CWR.............30     30     30     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........86     90     96     95     90     87
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     61     58     57     55     54
RH..............63     72     80     80     83     86
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   SE 5   S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10     10     10
CWR.............30     30     30     30     20     20

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1700-2700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........88     88     87     80     80     74
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     58     64     68     71     72
RH..............90     83     75     68     59     57
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 4    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
CWR.............10     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...N. LISTEMAA
REQUESTED BY...JEFF KOENIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110501.JARMA.03/LWX