FNUS74 KLZK 011330 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO FLOOD...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 830 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0817 CDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT TODAY OVER THE AREA. A STALLED FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... WITH HEAVY RAIN...ACROSS THE STATE. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE STATE ON TUESDAY...WITH CALMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WITH HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS FROM HEAVY RAINFALL ONGOING AND FROM PREVIOUS DAYS...THE THE FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURE.........56 AT INCIDENT...MAX 57. RH..................82 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............56 56 56 56 56 57 57 57 57 57 RH..............82 80 79 77 75 73 73 73 72 72 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE N N EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 20 21 21 22 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90 90 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 22 TO 24 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............56 55 53 50 48 47 46 45 44 44 43 42 RH..............72 75 80 86 89 90 91 91 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 22 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 90 60 60 60 60 60 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 21 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3500 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............42 42 43 45 48 50 52 53 54 55 56 56 RH..............97 97 91 82 74 68 63 59 56 54 53 52 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...JEFF WEST TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110501.BUFFA.01/LZK