FNUS75 KPUB 021016
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
416 AM MDT MON MAY 2 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE
STATE TODAY...AND THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON.
DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED BEGINNING TOMORROW AND
LASTING THROUGH THE WEEK. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY AS WINDS INCREASE...BUT AT
THIS TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS REMAIN QUESTIONABLE.

  --- THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ---

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (63 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0900...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 2-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 16000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300. POOR AFTER 0300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110501.SANDG.03/PUB