FNUS71 KAKQ 021012
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERRY ORCHARD BOG...DCR NATURAL HERITAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
612 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AND PUSHES
THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) EARLY...BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (1600-34100
                    FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD
                    (51800-86800 FT-MPH) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........46  42  38  34  31  28  25  22  20  17  18  20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  72  75  79  80  81  81  80  78  75  72  69
RH..............61  53  50  45  44  42  42  45  48  54  59  66
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   5   4   4   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.6 4.7 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 4.2 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  16  16  16  16  16  15  14  12  10  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (26000-54600
                    FT-MPH)...DECREASING TO VERY POOR (2000-3800
                    FT-MPH) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (3400-39800
                    FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO GOOD (63900-107200
                    FT-MPH) LATE IN THE MORNING.



FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110502.CHERR.01/AKQ