FNUS73 KAPX 021602 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR CURTIS PINES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1202 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING QUIET WEATHER TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TODAY TO KEEP ANY UPSLOPE LOCAL EFFECTS FROM AFFECTING THE WIND DIRECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION OVER THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS...BUT THIS SHOULD NOT AFFECT THE FORECASTED TEMPERATURES OR RELATIVE HUMIDITY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4400-5500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900). TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........44 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 58 RH..............26 26 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 SMOKE DISP......800 900 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 50 47 47 47 47 47 47 58 58 58 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 55 51 47 43 40 38 37 36 35 34 34 RH..............25 29 34 42 51 59 64 64 67 69 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W NW N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 4 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......900 800 600 400 200 100 100 100 100 100 0 100 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6700 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 61 61 61 74 74 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............34 36 44 49 51 52 RH..............75 67 49 39 34 33 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 3 NW 4 N 5 N 4 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 100 400 600 700 1000 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE THOMPSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110502.CURTI.01/APX