FNUS73 KAPX 021345
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND LAKE BURN...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
945 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES
TODAY...BRINGING QUIET WEATHER TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS TODAY WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS COULD GIVE MORE SUNSHINE
THAN FORECAST LATER...ALLOWING THE TEMPERATURE TO RISE AND THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-4300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (900).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75  55  55  55  60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............47  48  48  48  48
RH..............38  35  35  35  35
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......700 600 700 800 900

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110502.SANDL.01/APX